27 Oct 2020
October 27, 2020

3rd Quarter 2020

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2020 may go down as the longest year ever.  The 3rd quarter started as a break from the 1st half of the year.  July and August rolled along with the market rally following the March market drop.  But then came September.  That is where we’ll spend our time. The driving force for the US market.. read more →

30 Apr 2020
April 30, 2020

1st Quarter 2020

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One aspect of a Black Swan market is you don’t see it coming until it lands on your shoulder.  The first quarter of 2020 will be one for the financial history books.  The market dropped from all-time highs to drops not seen since the stock market crash of 1938.  Another perspective is the market dropped.. read more →

07 Jan 2020
January 7, 2020

2019 Review – Happy New Year!

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2019 came and went as did the issues which buffeted the stock market since early 2018.  The stock market dropped off a cliff in early 2018 when President Trump began to challenge China over trade policies, currency manipulation and theft of US intellectual property.  The close of 2019 saw agreement between the US and Chinese.. read more →

31 Oct 2019
October 31, 2019

3rd Quarter Review

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Congratulations!  We just survived another volatile quarter.  The S&P, the broad index of US stocks, barely eked out a positive return for the quarter.  The ups and downs were driven by the usual suspects, the FED, China trade, a short-lived inverted yield curve and efforts by the media to talk up recession and a contraction.. read more →

08 Jul 2019
July 8, 2019

Action Aplenty

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The 2nd quarter of this year had stock market up and down action aplenty.  But it ended with June being the best month and quarter since the mid 50’s.  That was a long time ago. What brought on that uptick?  Hope.  The Fed indicated a willingness at their June meeting to strongly consider reducing its.. read more →

08 Apr 2019
April 8, 2019

What A Difference

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What a difference a quarter makes.  The 4th quarter of 2018 was a historical low for the US stock market.  1st quarter of 2019 saw historically high percentage rate market increases.  That is what is expected but it is always celebrated when it happens.  Let’s quickly rehash what created problems for the market in 2018. .. read more →

31 Jan 2019
January 31, 2019

Fourth Quarter Indicators

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2018 will be remembered by stock market investors as the year of the mental recession.  The underlying US economy appears to be on sound footing.  US company profits are up, and unemployment is down to historic lows.  But the market itself spent the year in a tizzy worrying over US-China trade talks, the very real.. read more →

25 Oct 2018
October 25, 2018

Third Quarter Observations

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It is difficult to think back on the 3rd quarter when the 4th quarter is beating down the door. But here goes. 3rd quarter results continued the market’s concern that tariffs and a trade war, coupled with the FED’s move to raise interest rates would drag down revenues and profits. There was progress on negotiation.. read more →

10 Jul 2018
July 10, 2018

Half Way Through 2018

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We’re half way through 2018. Amazing! Second quarter was not the jolt we experienced in the 2nd half of the 1st quarter but more of a give and take. Equities, especially emerging markets, pulled back. Bond proxy positions such as real estate and utilities rebounded. The factors ruling over the market continued to be the.. read more →

11 Apr 2018
April 11, 2018

First Quarter Volatility

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The first quarter was a gas, a real gas. Until it ran out of gas. Market traders burned their way through January as if there was no limit to their optimism. It was wonderful until it wasn’t. When the market got the jitters of a 14-year old on his first date you knew volatility was.. read more →